Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.154871 0.183086 0.214586 0.252305 0.296183 0.345558 0.405273
2024-12-22 0.108170 0.143690 0.187759 0.246213 0.321442 0.414714 0.538806
2024-12-29 0.085281 0.124177 0.176583 0.251815 0.356405 0.495925 0.695256
2025-01-05 0.068048 0.107113 0.163538 0.250075 0.378321 0.559980 0.835018
2025-01-12 0.054738 0.092346 0.150116 0.244011 0.391124 0.610608 0.959888
2025-01-19 0.044518 0.080025 0.137710 0.236521 0.399269 0.653579 1.076556
2025-01-26 0.038931 0.074069 0.134075 0.241753 0.427073 0.728606 1.249772
2025-02-02 0.034089 0.068415 0.129841 0.244948 0.451282 0.799759 1.423671
2025-02-09 0.029771 0.062875 0.124805 0.245707 0.470888 0.864690 1.593292
2025-02-16 0.026514 0.058752 0.121629 0.249165 0.495302 0.939861 1.787635
2025-02-23 0.024415 0.056570 0.121752 0.258704 0.531773 1.039709 2.035371
2025-03-02 0.020915 0.050781 0.113815 0.251196 0.534528 1.077800 2.173278
2025-03-09 0.018652 0.047383 0.110422 0.252729 0.555835 1.154043 2.393059
2025-03-16 0.016282 0.043304 0.104964 0.249162 0.566367 1.210666 2.581154
2025-03-23 0.014938 0.041434 0.104091 0.255397 0.598086 1.312418 2.868627
2025-03-30 0.013253 0.038377 0.100002 0.253758 0.612452 1.379982 3.092850
2025-04-06 0.011539 0.034901 0.094355 0.247636 0.615950 1.424882 3.273833
2025-04-13 0.009988 0.031552 0.088470 0.240047 0.615023 1.459916 3.436765
2025-04-20 0.009243 0.030337 0.087832 0.245354 0.645051 1.565891 3.764569
2025-04-27 0.008484 0.028929 0.086466 0.248593 0.670417 1.663732 4.083147
2025-05-04 0.007709 0.027314 0.084280 0.249363 0.689715 1.749394 4.381767
2025-05-11 0.007114 0.026149 0.083167 0.252869 0.716350 1.854764 4.735663
2025-05-18 0.006774 0.025756 0.084227 0.262541 0.760123 2.005250 5.209611